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Looking at the other groups, The group of death is right. If you got anyone of these fixtures in the 1/4 final no one would have thought twice about it so getting 3 in the same group is tough. This was always going to be a tight group so a 9-1 defeat in week 1, means they are likely to need 8-2's in their remaining fixtures to progress starting with the patriots next week it hard to see.

I would say 16 points in this stage will give you a decent chance of getting through with 18 points plus likely to top the group.