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I reckon the year I won it there were about 15-20 players that would be thought of as being favourite in matches against me. I had a good draw that day in as much as I didnt draw anyone that I would consider as being better than me until the final, although I played a few of similar standard. Lots of the better players were beaten by other good players. In addition I played incredibly well that day, and probably havent played anything like it since

If you are looking at the equivalent of players capable in relation to field strength it could be the likes of a Truan or a Telford coming through the field to win, which is certainly not an impossibility. If say those two were 14/1 I am sure both of them would have in their mind that they would expect to win this event if there were 14 comps with the same field.

From my perspective if their were 6 identical events, id expect to win or get very near to winning one of them.

The players already mentoned would be similar, except cookie who would probably win 1 in 3/4.

As The Power (Grrr) has said the draw is all important and it may mean a player getting to the 1/4's without breaking to much of a sweat.